The show Devs kind of deals with this topic.<p>Tldr: dudes wife/kid die in an unpredictable accident so he builds a super computer that predicts things, and can even go back in time using probability. Interesting story.
I asked it to predict the first 1 KB of Chaitin’s constant. It hung, froze, then said I used up my free quota. Sounds about right.
Sigh... I'm willing to bet (and this is not a hard thing to bet on) that even bb(50) is independent of ZFC and similar, and Omega(1KB) is > 748 , which is at this point known to be independent of ZFC.... Please do not ask the LLM to break the universe :)
I asked a question, server hung, then told me I had no more free questions without giving me an answer.
I asked who would win the 2028 US presidential election and it said Vance at 51% likelihood.<p>That's not an unreasonable prediction but it's a little bit of a cop-out, especially the 51% bit.
> Prior helps you anticipate anything: sports, markets […]. Our goal is to create the most powerful predictive intelligence in existence.<p>Assuming that it gets anywhere close to that goal, does it take into consideration the effects of its predictions on the markets and calculates a fixpoint? (Or, maybe more likely, how the resulting chaotic system will behave?)
Obviously not.<p>There is no tool that can do what this tool is claiming to do. At best, it can make reasonable inferences based on data it has available using whatever model it is using (assuming it's not a fraud) but key parts of the world are irreducibly complex. They cannot be predicted and that is without the problem of reflexivity which you correctly highlight as an issue - even for a notionally perfect prediction engine.<p>Given enough compute and data, you could model every human on the planet at subatomic granularity and you'd a) be chaotically sensitive to initial conditions; b) be subject to random quantum fluctuations.<p>Nice enough frontend though.
I assume that will be a feature available for the higher tier subscriptions...
There is no way to know if this has any substance behind it or not or is just some sort of marketing sign-up page
how many millionaires has this generated i wonder<p>this is basically technical astrology.
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