(insert Ron Paul It's Happening meme here)<p>I work in the refurb department of an ewaste recycling company. Because we don't have a Windows OEM license, we officially can't install Windows on any of the PCs we sell. (I'll direct people to download the Windows install media if asked.[0]) On the systems I sell[1], Linux Mint has a nice OEM install option that after installation, there's a 'ship to customer' script[2] that starts an OOBE after the next boot, so I don't have to make up a login, and hope it doesn't get lost anywhere.<p>I'm not sure how many people keep the Linux install after they buy it, but it's cool to think we're helping move the needle on this! FWIW, I've had several people directed to me specifically for Linux systems, so I know it's more than 3.<p>Yes, I run Linux everywhere at work (it's the wild west without a Windows domain), and at home.<p>[0] <a href="https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/software-download/windows11" rel="nofollow">https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/software-download/windows11</a> (ewww)<p>[1] <a href="https://www.ebay.com/str/evolutionecycling" rel="nofollow">https://www.ebay.com/str/evolutionecycling</a><p>[2] <a href="https://linuxmint-installation-guide.readthedocs.io/en/latest/oem.html" rel="nofollow">https://linuxmint-installation-guide.readthedocs.io/en/lates...</a>
From one recycler to another, thanks for the work you do!<p>Personally, I typically use gray market Windows keys. I have a hard time moving machines with Linux on them.<p>But I think you are doing a really good thing!
As the article points out, we’re not sure about the validity of these numbers.<p>Anecdotally though, the idea of major creators like Linus Tech Tips and Marques Brownlee putting out Linux content was unheard of a few short years ago.<p>I have been seeing a wide trend among the Windows tech-savvy universe of frustrated users <i>who have social media</i> platforms suggesting strongly that people give it a try.<p>Plus, you’ve got Steam, which has made Linux an excellent game platform for the very large percentage of Windows desktop users who play games.<p>I also find that the availability of AI makes troubleshooting for newbies way easier. Dump your error message in or describe what’s not working and you’re on your way.<p>It is truly the year of the Linux desktop. I switched away from Windows thinking I’d still need a dual boot partition but so far I really don’t.
Don't forget PewDiePie, the last person I expected to do a video about migrating to Linux.
In my experience, LLMs are not great at resolving linux issues, but they are better than what we've had in the past. Trying to use forums and web searches was exhausting, and you'd often deal with people who were trying to show how smart they are and rather than answering your questions they demand to know "what are you really trying to do?"
> you'd often deal with people who were trying to show how smart they are and rather than answering your questions they demand to know "what are you really trying to do?"<p>In over 30 years of using the Internet I have seen this question form countless times, and I have posed it myself countless times.<p>I have never had it in mind to "show how smart I am", and cannot recall ever walking away with the impression that someone else was doing so.<p>The goal is to <i>solve the other person's problem</i>; the rationale is a genuine belief that the other person has an <a href="https://xyproblem.info/" rel="nofollow">https://xyproblem.info/</a> . This belief is, often, motivated by confusion over the description of what's happened so far, or by the OP taking actions that seem inconsistent or needlessly convoluted.<p>Getting help from other people, as a beginner in a field (<i>any</i> field) <i>requires accepting</i> that you might not yet know the right question to ask, or how to ask it. That's just how knowledge works.<p>The worst thing about forums in my experience, <i>by far</i>, is people who pose as wanting help but who really just want to rant. Specifically for Linux forums, rant about Linux because it doesn't work like Windows.
Hard disagree. Claude with full access to a system is an amazing forensic, digging through obscure dumps, configuring tracing and measuring results, fast. It's also an amazing interface, from setting up environments, tweaking hidden parameters and everyday operations. I don't have such a customized (and functional) system since I was a way more energized teenager with plenty of time to fiddle around. Now it's instant.<p>I do think llm assisted linux has a bright future. It feels like scifi using a system with them, gluing all the power scattered in small tools.
LLM's also came at a time of search decay. Getting google to surface good results was approaching impossible, (although the new ai categories somehow are even worse as they are adding strange terms or location data to create new unrelated searches.)<p>Hopefully there is a middle ground, where I can explain to my crawler which results look good, which dont, what it got wrong, and it adapts. A return to crawler/surfacer agents that work to find and retrieve would be a step in the right direction.
I dare say LLMs were one of the things that finally pushed me over the top to be a full time Linux user. For a lifetime Windows user Linux novice like me they really helped me get unblocked on basic stuff like installing Nvidia drivers and setting up a samba share.
I totally disagree there. My medium-technical non-programmer friend completely installed set up Linux without my help using Claude. As the resident IT person among my friend group this blew my mind.<p>I’ve noticed that it’s helped me as well, because it’s able to give me diagnostic commands that I can run and report back with the results. For example, I fixed/set up a virtual machine with libvertd and I just wouldn’t have gotten that far without it, especially for when I broke the setup later.
> medium-technical non-programmer friend completely installed set up Linux without my help using Claude<p>I mean, not to do the HN thing, but I feel like if anything that's a bad sign for Linux that Claude was needed? Basically any desktop distro from the last decade has a simple GUI installer, if anything it's genuinely easier than installing Windows. I'd expect a medium-technical person to be able to handle it just fine, what did Claude help them with?<p>I do use LLMs for random debugging questions (most recently laptop dual graphics for instance) but the base install has always worked fine for me
The Windows 11 ISO on a two year old Lenovo laptop did not have the Ethernet or WiFi driver. “Have Disk” also did not work for whatever reason when I downloaded the driver to a USB drive. I had to open up a command prompt within the Windows installer and run the GUI driver installer.<p>In Linux, I now have a custom Arch install which Gemini did help with a lot. It helped unblock significantly where I wanted to get fundamental understanding. A Debian installer will just work though (ironically, some years ago, I had issues with Ubuntu working out of the box but not Debian).
> what did Claude help them with?<p><a href="https://askubuntu.com/" rel="nofollow">https://askubuntu.com/</a><p>There's decades of this stuff.
Conversely, my windows 11 has fundamental issues that neither google nor claude can find solutions to.
On the contrary, LLMs such as Claude Sonnet have been great for diagnosing complete system freezes that aren't logged, and handling iptables.
Well, it was always a safe guess that their "Unknown" numbers were almost all Linux.
Great move by Microsoft to spur Linux adoption by making Windows 11 installable only on the “latest and greatest” hardware. I have a T460p which is still perfectly fine for most office use and gaming and has 32 GB of RAM, a TPM 2.0 and a quad core CPU but because that CPU is not on Microsoft’s list I can only install Windows 11 through some shady hacks.<p>I guess especially now as new hardware skyrockets in price people think twice before buying a new rig just so they can update Windows, Linux starts to look really good for these folks.
We developed Linux with 1st class support for our desktop app. It was extremely painful due to missing some Webview functionality that is available for both MacOS and Windows, so we're maintaining an entire 2nd branch of UI code to run CEF instead. One of our developers is 24/7 on Linux and basically just fixes Linux bugs, and even they need a couple VMs to try out random (especially old) distros and DEs to make sure it all works.<p>Anyways, I'm saying this because we expected ~1% Linux users, but we needed something to stand out against our competitors. I just pulled our latest data, and 7.5% of our paying users are on Linux.
This article is just a rehash of the following source.<p><a href="https://gs.statcounter.com/os-market-share/desktop/north-america#monthly-202505-202606" rel="nofollow">https://gs.statcounter.com/os-market-share/desktop/north-ame...</a><p>I don't know what their methodology is but it's hard to take their findings seriously when it shows windows dropping over five percentage points between may and June, or when Linux almost doubled during the same time period, or when it shows an "OS X" spike in October 2025, or when it has OS X and macOS on the same graph…
For sure Linux ecosystem will dominate over Windows if things remain as now. The question is when: in 5 or 15 years. There are so many reasons:<p>- high hardware prices push people to keep their 5-10 y-o PC that crawl under updated Windows versions<p>- stupid Windows practices, like ads and updates, that make people feel, well, stupid<p>- improvement of Linux distro support, mainly due to instant help by LLMs<p>- a series of other goodies, like games on Steam, practically non-existent malware, strong security, lack of privacy invasion and the most important: legally FREE.<p>At about 30-35% market share there will be a tipping that will accelerate the adoption through support by big corps, mild monetization and by being just a "sexy compute".
I use Windows 11, Linux and MacOS on a daily basis and don't have any axes to grind on which one I think is best.<p>For older hardware that won't run Windows 11, I'm a huge fan of Linux Mint, especially for people migrating from Windows.
I've been using Linux on/off since the late 90s. And now, both my mini-PC and my laptop are running Fedora, and I swear by them.<p>So as much as I want to believe that others share my taste, I'm not sure how to interpret the two statistics in this article.<p>Sadly, I'd lean towards this article's attribution:<p>"Cloudflare’s unfiltered figures may include automated requests unless human traffic is classified. This is especially relevant to Linux, widely used for servers, automation, development environments, and headless browser workloads"<p>I suspect many people are running AI agents on cloud servers, which are most likely running Linux, and many of those agents are browsing the web. That's more likely what is driving this adoption. That, and as the article points out, more accurate OS classification on the part of StatCounter (from unknown to "Linux"), especially if its over the span of 1 month.
Discussion from yesterday: <a href="https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49140696">https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49140696</a>
Why is all windows lumped into one but Mac OS's separated. As well as linuc and chrome os?
A big shift I've noticed in the past few years is how much Windows is increasingly a second-class citizen for developer focused things.<p>Increasingly you'll see a new tool or library or language, and there'll be installation instructions for everything except windows.<p>Or Windows will be "supported" but when you go to run the tests they just don't work.<p>Development has often been more Linux friendly, but it was rarely the case that Windows got completely ignored.
Rightfully so, I think. I’m on a mixed team - Mac, Windows, Linux targeting web; the issues the Windows users have just getting the computer to work are astonishing. I don’t think it is the corporate spyware because my Mac also has corporate spyware.<p>Windows is just a profoundly awful development environment. So bad they think “run everything in a Linux VM” is a good answer, despite all the performance footguns and complexities it raises.<p>If you choose to run windows for development, it’s either because you were forced to (e.g. building WPF full time) or you are deliberately choosing a painful rake-filled path.<p>Not to mention for ~5 of the past 6 years it has simply been impossible to get a good Windows laptop given where Mac set the bar for good.
> However, the sharp monthly increase needs context. Statcounter’s June figures included an “Unknown” category that accounted for 9.24% of North American desktop usage. Its reduction seems to have coincided with Linux’s rise, possibly indicating better identification of previously unclassified traffic.<p>Still good news for those wanting to see broader Linux adoption, but the news really is the usage was correctly recognized as Linux for the first time.
Their source is StatCounter. I would trust the trends but not their absolute values. This month, Steam reported an increase to 4.01% while Cloudflare's human activity reports ~6%.
Even the trends should be taken with caution. By the very nature of their collection methodology and Firefox’s user base, they massively undercount Firefox (almost certainly by more than 30%, from the last estimates I remember; and possibly significantly more). I would expect them to heavily undercount Linux for similar reasons.
one thing I can bet on - Windows will ship their own distro & that will be the end of official 'windows'.<p>all the other windows apps - will be either through a wine layer or migrated to web.
Article is blocked in India.
Bots pretending to be desktops?
I hope this is not true, but it feels plausible to me. All of those “TV boxes” selling residential proxies may be thousands of additional Linux installs showing up in the stats. If those machines then make a habit of rotating their user agent, could noticeably impact the numbers.
There are zero android and ios users because reasons.<p>Realistically, windows probably doesnt even break 1% these days.
But the question is "which" distro? If it's one of the "hyped" ones, I wouldn't be surprised if people migrate back to Windows.
I am very happy to hear this. Usually, when I tell people that my main operating system is Linux, they don't even process it and assume it's either Windows or Mac. Sometimes, they get confused and claim that no one uses Linux.<p>Now that there is data in terms that people can understand (capitalism), I think people will finally accept that Linux is an OS. The next thing is the false equivalence between Linux and Android.
Several people at a LAN party in April were surprised I was running Linux. It runs everything you can imagine playing except a handful of games that rely on kernel anti-cheat by choice, like Fortnite.<p>I have Windows on dual-boot in case I need it, but I'm in Linux 99% of the time now.