This fits the pattern of sabotage all across Europe. The obvious candidate is Russia who are using hybrid warfare against Europe/UK for a long time. Why does this post have so many... strange comments, mostly from new accounts? More hybrid warfare?
So that is Poland, Spain, England and now Italy in the past few months?<p>Have I missed any - very brazen!
Probably Germany
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I know nothing about railways, but is there any sort of Time Domain Reflectometry (TDM) technology that railways use to detect issues with the rails?<p>I suppose with the distances we're talking about and the resistance of steel this isn't visible without a whole bunch of signal generators?<p><i>Edit: Be sure to read jiggawatts' reply below.</i>
TDM won’t work in practice for a few reasons.<p>The rails act like very noisy transmission lines where the return path is partly the other rail, partly ground, and it changes with ballast moisture and geometry. Every joint, weld, switch, crossing, impedance bond, and termination creates reflections. The bigger problem though is the gap often left between tracks for thermal expansion.<p>There are ways to lay down other signal lines along the track that can measure things but they tend to be expensive unless they use a telecom line laid along the track. There’s other techniques like differential injection rail-to-rail with careful coupling + filtering, and baseline subtraction, but I don’t know how widely deployed that is.
They use “test” cars that have bright lights or xenon flashes pointing down. They take thousands of pictures of the track every night and store the images in a database that can match them up precisely so you can see cracks growing over time like a movie.<p>I also remember reading about an application of fibre optics where a long strand is placed directly under each rail. Pulses of light through the fibre are reflected at the points where axles press down on the rail and compress the fibre. Similar techniques can be used to detect accidents and (completely) broken tracks.
Excellent! Thank you. Both these processes make more sense than the TDR scheme I was referring to.<p>With the fiber scheme they are using optical TDR.
You can even use fiber-optic cables running in cable throughs next to the tracks to detect and track trains: <a href="https://www.dbsystel.de/dbsystel-en/Digital-Stories-en/A-digital-ear-on-the-track-6180238" rel="nofollow">https://www.dbsystel.de/dbsystel-en/Digital-Stories-en/A-dig...</a>
Yep. And the DOM (Digital Optical Monitoring) in consumer fiber optic modules (eg. SFPs) is sensitive to detect stuff like this!<p>I can tell when and where we have significant wind storms, because it oscillates the fiber lines on the poles in a particular way which in turn generates a graph with specific signal oscillations.
I don’t get it what’s the goal here? did anyone claim responsibility
Why would someone do this?
If you do a somewhat bad thing with no pushback it becomes possible to do a somewhat worse thing with no pushback. Gradually you end up doing really bad things with total impunity.
Devil’s advocate: you should still have a reason to do the bad thing in the first place. I’m not a good enough politician to understand how this benefits anyone’s interests (don’t get me wrong, I do suspect Russia to be behind this, but still don’t get the objective - but then again I don’t get the objective of their special bullshit operation either)
The reason is resentment rooted in an inferiority complex. Russia's state ideology is that they're being oppressed by "the West", and they really believe it up to the highest levels of government. They're quite convinced that hurting their "enemy" this way amounts to securing their interest, because by damaging "the West", their own relative power is elevated and that makes them a serious player on the international stage.
Indeed many people who subscribe to Rational Actor theory of politics are stupefied by this. However the thing about personalistic dictatorships is their foreign policy and aggression are all subject to the whims of one person, even though the media still refers to them as if they are real countries with collective decision-making. And they indeed may be acting rationally just not in the axiomatic framework any sane person would even consider.<p>Say some dictator lived through a trauma that he projects onto some group of people. Or that he considers himself a spiritual successor (perhaps even the reincarnation) of Ivan the Great, the Collector or Lands. Once you ease yourself into this mindset you see the logic.
Russia is desperate for leverage. Apart from China, they are severely isolated from rich markets. Targeted violence is an attempt at generating leverage, in the same way some racketeers would hit shops that refuse to pay "protection" money.
Creating chaos in democracies is forcing the elected politicians to focus on the interior, thus leaving them less resources (or public interest) for stopping remote invasions.
hybrid warfare: inflict costs with deniability
They wouldn't, it's just the West trying to set up the stage.<p>They need a way out over their current mess.
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Russia is openly attacking Europe. This is the second time railways have been bombed right at the start of the olympics!<p>Fuck me, what will it take before we do something?
Russia has been involved in covert sabotage operations in Europe for more than a decade [1][2]. You can learn more about this from investigative journalist Christo Grozev [3].<p>What are the chances that the high-speed rail crash that occurred in Spain a few weeks ago was also caused by them? [4]<p>[1] <a href="https://www.csis.org/analysis/russias-shadow-war-against-west" rel="nofollow">https://www.csis.org/analysis/russias-shadow-war-against-wes...</a><p>[2] <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/GRU_Unit_29155" rel="nofollow">https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/GRU_Unit_29155</a><p>[3] <a href="https://m.youtube.com/@thechristofiles/videos" rel="nofollow">https://m.youtube.com/@thechristofiles/videos</a><p>[4] <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Adamuz_train_derailments" rel="nofollow">https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Adamuz_train_derailments</a>
France had the same kind of sabotages during the JO. It was later confirmed to have been sponsored by Russia.
I was coming out of Barcelona on a train to France on the 18th, and through the window spotted a blacked-out quadcopter just hovering quite high over the tracks. No incidents happened in that area of Spain though so I'm wondering why it was there, I suppose it could be civilian or police?
Anyone can fly a quadcopter though? You can buy one right now for a couple hundred bucks off Amazon (and strap explosives to it if you wanted to).<p>If anything, the fact we’re not seeing random drones carrying explosives and diving into groups of people on a daily basis shows the vast, vast (99.999%) majority of people is actually well-meaning and has no desire to kill or hurt anyone.<p>If you’re legitimately baffled by a random guy being able to fly a quadcopter around without any kind of government approval or oversight, I encourage you to buy one and play around (without explosives please!), just make sure to not fly it over places where people could be standing - terminal velocity is real and even a light one could cause serious injury if it were to lose control and fall on someone’s head.
There was also a spree of migrants attacks in Germany, just before the election, which greatly swung public opionion to the AfD.
Russia is <i>a</i> candidate, but it's far from the <i>only</i> candidate, and it's not clear how this advances their interests. Why not China, for instance? Or a random terrorist group? Speculation is fun but it's important to actually make statements grounded in reality.
No, Russia is the prime (if not only) candidate.<p>Why? They've been developing a system of "single-use agents" to overwhelm European governments and keep them on their back foot.<p>This is likely a test run.<p>A lovely article on this was recently published in The New Yorker that you may enjoy: <a href="https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2026/02/09/to-build-a-fire" rel="nofollow">https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2026/02/09/to-build-a-fir...</a>.
I'd suggest that radical left-wing elements indigenous to Italy, such as those behind the Turin protests that left 100 police officers wounded a few days ago, are a perfectly plausible candidate; not every attack comes from without. There was another protest against the Olympics in Milan itself last night by left-wing elements who believe the games are economically and socially unsustainable [0]<p>[0] <a href="https://www.cnn.com/2026/02/07/europe/italy-protests-rail-damage-latam-intl" rel="nofollow">https://www.cnn.com/2026/02/07/europe/italy-protests-rail-da...</a>
Unfortunately with stuff like this, nation states will use groups like that as proxies.<p>Lots of governments.<p>For example, there's some other news at the moment that the USA is financing pro-MAGA groups across Europe, which I mention more because of Jan 6 happened at all than due to any specific evidence that the US government has knowingly given state support for terrorists.
Israel is another candidate, given that Israel has beef with Spain for Spanish government not supporting/approving the genocide in Gaza.
After 6 weeks in Taiwan, one thing became very evident, mainland China can take the island in 3 days without firing a single shot. The only thing that can stop mainland China taking from taking Taiwan is a US president like Bill Clinton who had the courage to put two United States aircraft carrier strike forces between the mainland and the island to defend democracy which gave us TMSC. I don't see the current snowflake leadership doing that. While I was there, mainland China told the people of Taiwan to shut their mouths and nobody said a word about China after.<p>The reason mainland China hasn't taken Taiwan is because they don't have to.<p>I do not like the government of China, however, they are building infrastructure around the world especially in Africa, Asia, and South America. They are not destroying things like Russia does every single day. Their approach to diplomacy now is building.<p>For the same reason, China isn't commit terrorist attacks on other countries. However, Russia is committing terrorist attacks on other countries so it easy to believe that they are responsible for terrorist attacks.
<i>> Why not China, for instance?</i><p>A couple reasons:<p>1. China's not particularly known to conduct this sort of activity this far from their mainland.<p>2. What would be their motive? China is actively trying to fill that "superpower" void being left in Europe by President Trump's unpredictable behavior.<p><i>> Or a random terrorist group?</i><p>Plausible.<p><i>> Speculation is fun but it's important to actually make statements grounded in reality.</i><p>I look at it from the standpoint of motive and history. See "GRU Unit 29155"[1]. Russia has both. Russia is on the brink of war with Europe.<p>1. <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/GRU_Unit_29155#Activities" rel="nofollow">https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/GRU_Unit_29155#Activities</a>
Ok, this is actually substantial - much more so than GP's speculation. I think you've convinced me.
Perhaps reading the sources the GP provided would further cement your understanding.
Thank you, I just started as an intern in CCP counter-intel. 不要相信任何人 :-P
> Russia is on the brink of war with Europe.<p>EU / NATO is on the brink of making war with Russia official.<p>There, FTFY.
> Why not China, for instance<p>In this specific case, becuase China has historically had significant FDI <i>within</i> Italy's infrastructure sector.<p>China has significant issues with the EU and is aligned with Russia, but it isn't in China's incentive to conduct violent actions outside of the Chinese diaspora within Europe (which is a separate sticking point).
What about USA.
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Europe should stop tolerating these sabotages and go to war with Russia and take advantage of their weakened military due to their war with Ukraine
NATO could certainly rollover the Russian army in a conventional war, but that was just as true before the Ukrainian war. The idea that Russia is/was a serious threat is a convenient fiction: It helps maintain Russia's image as a superpower, and it provides a justification for the existence of NATO and the associated military industrial complex that supports it.<p>What <i>is</i> true however, is that Russia does possess a huge arsenal of nuclear and other weapons:<p><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russia_and_weapons_of_mass_destruction" rel="nofollow">https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russia_and_weapons_of_mass_des...</a><p>Despite Putin's posturing, Russia's never going to risk deploying them in a conflict with Ukraine. But in an actual war between NATO/Europe and Russia, with the regime facing an existential threat, then there's a very good chance they would. But even before it got to that point, the nature of the conflict itself would make nuclear escalation very likely. Both sides would be firing huge numbers of missiles, attempting to gain air superiority by wiping out the other's own missile launchers, radar bases, etc. With that many missiles flying, and stressed people and automated systems making split-second decisions, it's very likely that an error or miscalculation would result in an accidental nuclear strike, at which point it would be impossible to put the genie back in the bottle.
will you go to the frontline?
You know what, yeah, I will, in exchange for EU citizenship and it must be fully financed so we have available the best weaponry money can buy (and a written contract that has a big payout for my parents if I die in combat)
absolutely
Article about Russia on HN > green letter brand new throwaway accounts appear instantly in comments
At least on this Materialistic app available on F-Droid, all those comments are flagged and unable to be seen<p>Its absolutely senseless to take on a position on something when not knowing what's coming from both sides<p>I'd presume this place to be frequented by those who would also find it similarly foolhardy to be taking a stance on an issue when not all parties are privy to the same objectivity/impartiality (in terms of information and the different sides of the story)
This article doesn't mention Russia at all.
article about russia???
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Of course they were, and of course that the Russians are to blame. Any mention of Mussolini and the fascists just yet? Seeing as we're talking about trains in Italy.<p>Absolute cinema.<p>Later edit: And something constructive, for a change, and to ignore the bs propaganda coming from the government-paid BBC ghouls, just read the comments in there, made by actual Italians, on the FB page of one of the most important newspapers in Italy. Like I said, absolute clowns, but it's pretty interesting that they're still trying to sell this bs, they must be thinking they we're still back in early 2022.<p>[1] <a href="https://www.facebook.com/corrieredellasera/posts/pfbid026M73e3JumuVb95yMye165T76RG1aBgo2xprzhUY51grPagBj895oNaCfkUPwLM7hl" rel="nofollow">https://www.facebook.com/corrieredellasera/posts/pfbid026M73...</a>